Chelsea Transfers

[Thor 2,730]

8 minutes ago, Special Juan said:

The deal has been agreed- we are sending documents this morning. Things go to plan Sir Romano should be saying the three words later today 👍🏻

Ca cei do - here we go - ca cei do 

[xPetrCechx 13,573]

A relatively simple explanation because many have asked: Chelsea need something like £450m profit (could even be more) from 22/23 and 23/24 player trading to balance the allowable trading loss over the last 3 years (conservatively). I reckon they did around £100m player trading profit in 22/23 with around another £75m so far from Mount, Pulisic, PEA, Livermento sell on profit and Ampadu.

Amortisation rises when you buy and does not fall if you sell a youth player for a pure profit. 

So Caciedo, Lavia and Olise will add not only, say, £35m of amortisation in 23/24 but also, say, £25m of wages. 

That’s more than the likely trading profit of selling Gallagher and Hudson Odoi although assume maybe £12.5m wage saving. But they needed that for the existing deficit before Caciedo etc.

This leaves Chalabah and Broja as profit opportunities. Most of the rest are at best neutral in terms of profits - Ziyech could lose quite a lot, Kepa neutral, Cucurella has a book value so high he can’t be sold for profit, Sterling the same. 

So they are many £10s of millions short of break even under PL P&S in 23/24 even if they managed to just about comply in 22/23 (which I’m skeptical about too).

[DDA 9,949]

25 minutes ago, xPetrCechx said:

A relatively simple explanation because many have asked: Chelsea need something like £450m profit (could even be more) from 22/23 and 23/24 player trading to balance the allowable trading loss over the last 3 years (conservatively). I reckon they did around £100m player trading profit in 22/23 with around another £75m so far from Mount, Pulisic, PEA, Livermento sell on profit and Ampadu.

Amortisation rises when you buy and does not fall if you sell a youth player for a pure profit. 

So Caciedo, Lavia and Olise will add not only, say, £35m of amortisation in 23/24 but also, say, £25m of wages. 

That’s more than the likely trading profit of selling Gallagher and Hudson Odoi although assume maybe £12.5m wage saving. But they needed that for the existing deficit before Caciedo etc.

This leaves Chalabah and Broja as profit opportunities. Most of the rest are at best neutral in terms of profits - Ziyech could lose quite a lot, Kepa neutral, Cucurella has a book value so high he can’t be sold for profit, Sterling the same. 

So they are many £10s of millions short of break even under PL P&S in 23/24 even if they managed to just about comply in 22/23 (which I’m skeptical about too).

So what are you saying?? We are fucked?

[xPetrCechx 13,573]

4 minutes ago, DDA said:

So what are you saying?? We are fucked?

Haha...

Maybe Bohely & Co doing all those deals because they sure Chelsea will get only fines and not punishments like transfer bans or bans from europe...

[enzoforever 10]

46 minutes ago, xPetrCechx said:

A relatively simple explanation because many have asked: Chelsea need something like £450m profit (could even be more) from 22/23 and 23/24 player trading to balance the allowable trading loss over the last 3 years (conservatively). I reckon they did around £100m player trading profit in 22/23 with around another £75m so far from Mount, Pulisic, PEA, Livermento sell on profit and Ampadu.

Amortisation rises when you buy and does not fall if you sell a youth player for a pure profit. 

So Caciedo, Lavia and Olise will add not only, say, £35m of amortisation in 23/24 but also, say, £25m of wages. 

That’s more than the likely trading profit of selling Gallagher and Hudson Odoi although assume maybe £12.5m wage saving. But they needed that for the existing deficit before Caciedo etc.

This leaves Chalabah and Broja as profit opportunities. Most of the rest are at best neutral in terms of profits - Ziyech could lose quite a lot, Kepa neutral, Cucurella has a book value so high he can’t be sold for profit, Sterling the same. 

So they are many £10s of millions short of break even under PL P&S in 23/24 even if they managed to just about comply in 22/23 (which I’m skeptical about too).

Where did the 450m figure come from?

[YorkshireBlue 3,281]

1 hour ago, Special Juan said:

The deal has been agreed- we are sending documents this morning. Things go to plan Sir Romano should be saying the three words later today 👍🏻

Any news on lavia? 

[xPetrCechx 13,573]

1 minute ago, enzoforever said:

Where did the 450m figure come from?

You can ask him 😁

 

[TheHulk 2,490]

Just now, YorkshireBlue said:

Any news on lavia? 

We should be hearing something any minute now.

[Costa19 858]

Some reports yesterday that Lavia was on his way to do the medical and if thats true we should absolutly get some news soon. 
 
Crazy if Papa B&E took it personal and went full super sayian mode and sign both Lavia and Caicedo

[Mhsc 1,101]

10 minutes ago, xPetrCechx said:

You can ask him 😁

 

He writes in the comments he’s sure our wages have barely improved and we are all dreaming if we think the players who are joining are agreeing much lower wages than those leaving.

Guess he has an agenda. Am curious to see something written by someone with actual assumptions and numbers in table form included, this guy is just making bold statements with out showing his working.

[Mhsc 1,101]

6 minutes ago, Costa19 said:

Some reports yesterday that Lavia was on his way to do the medical and if thats true we should absolutly get some news soon. 
 
Crazy if Papa B&E took it personal and went full super sayian mode and sign both Lavia and Caicedo

Personally the most believable story here is that Adams’ medical showed up he needs another 4 months of recovery, as some source on twitter posted. After that the subsequent panic for this double purchase begins to make sense, if we do indeed get both (I’m still kind of confused why we would want both unless we are moving to 4-3-3)

[zinctek 470]

7 hours ago, Vytis33 said:

 

that made me laugh far more than it should have!

[TheHulk 2,490]

 

[Nero 1,875]

16 minutes ago, TheHulk said:

 

What do they all see in Kepa? But please go ahead, take him.

 

Edited August 12, 2023 by Nero

[Pizy 18,961]

Good lord, STILL no further news as I wake up?!

[TheHulk 2,490]

Lavia doesn't want to come I think.

[Pizy 18,961]

So before it was Lavia being excited about coming to Chelsea and was prepared to sign a massively long contract. Now it’s Lavia hasn’t even had contact with us and still only wants Liverpool. From literally the same reporter? 

Seems like today will be another chaotic day. Thursday night everything looked to be in Liverpool’s favor, all day yesterday it switched 180 degrees towards us, and now I wake up and check Twitter to see reports that Lavia is still more likely for Liverpool and Caicedo to Liverpool is very much still possible.

[xPetrCechx 13,573]

❗️Excl. News #Kepa: He is close to reject FC Bayern as there was the feeling for the club that he wanted to join them. But there were no agreements as reported.

➡️ Kepa, NOW on verge to join @realmadrid to replace Courtois. Bayern informed.

@SkySportDE 🇪🇸

[xPetrCechx 13,573]

Real Madrid have now contacted Kepa’s camp — discussions are ongoing with player keen on the move, Kepa open to joining Real even on loan. 🚨⚪️

Bayern, informed — as @Plettigoal reported.

Real are working to understand the final formula of the deal wanted by Chelsea. https://t.co/7loYZ9nyi9

 — Fabrizio Romano (@FabrizioRomano)

[Thor 2,730]

People shitting on new management yet they’ve come in and cleared out all the deadwood y’all wanted. 
 

Wild that some of you complain so much.