Just for comparisons, Hugo's teammate who went to City in January (Marmoush) had an xG of about 8.8 and ended up scoring 13 non-penalty goals.
The last thing we need is two project strikers up front battling each other for first team minutes in Hugo & Nico. If we're really going down the young striker route, then get Delap, at least he's had a season to settle into PL football and managed to get to 10 non penalty goals in a pretty average Ipswich side.