Politics & Stuff

[Vesper 28,691]

First actual voting report:

With 60 per cent reported Harris is up 7 points over Biden in 2020 and 13 points up over Clinton in 2016 in Hamilton County IN, a non-swing state county (but a bellwether nonetheless because it is so similar to many other crucial counties in other actual swing states)..

She is actually ahead of Trump by 1.5 per cent.

Edited Tuesday at 23:56 by Vesper

[Vesper 28,691]

4 minutes ago, Fulham Broadway said:

Michael Cohens parents threatened and targetted by SWAT Teams...

Stormy Daniels is saying her husband said on TV that Trump when on trial should be convicted. She then said all her social media posts were deleted and her husbands words were changed to 'If Trump wins the election we will leave the USA'. 

One of the biggest gaslighting ops overall in US politics is the hatewashing, violence-washing of RW poltical violence comapared to LW political violence.

90 plus per cent comes from the RW, yet the mainstream press, the corporate press, far too often makes it seems like it is both sides who are somewhat equally to blame, and the RW media staggeringly lies and says it is almost all from the LW, that the RW is basically pure as the driven snow, and the only RW violence comes from false flags, or from mentally insane people who are not really RW.

[Vesper 28,691]

not good for Harris in terms of FL (granted it is more and more Red every year) trends (FL is no chance anyway for Harris, but this is really not going well THERE for her)

[Fulham Broadway 16,796]

On an existential point, regardless of Dem/Rep - another four years of a fat old rich white bloke is fucking soooo boring.

Walking on, waving to an imaginary friend, wearing red tie, white shirt a huge fucking coat with a wife that hates his guts.

Standing at a podium, talking absolute bollocks. Really ? another four years of watching an insane fool embarrass himself, the US and subsequently the World. ? So boring and damaging like bad sex. Lets have Kamala instead, cant be worse

[cosmicway 1,313]

Trump wins Georgia.

[Vesper 28,691]

1 minute ago, Vesper said:

not good for Harris in terms of FL (granted it is more and more Red every year) trends (FL is no chance anyway for Harris, but this is really not going well THERE for her)

now

let me go deeper

Florida's RW surge the last 10 plus years is being mostly driven by RWers moving there from the cold Northern US

so even though FL becomaes more and more RW

those RWers LEAVING the northern batteground states hurts the Republicans up there

and thus may well help Harris in terms of the overall electoral College map

that analysis is called national Electoral College strategic efficiency quotient

[cosmicway 1,313]

No results from battleground states so far.
But what is the swing ?

Edited yesterday at 00:19 by cosmicway

[Vesper 28,691]

5 minutes ago, cosmicway said:

Trump wins Georgia.

FAR too early to call that

[Sir Mikel OBE 4,916]

13 minutes ago, cosmicway said:

Trump wins Georgia.

I live here. You know something we dont?😉

[cosmicway 1,313]

Are they not measuring swings ?

[Vesper 28,691]

2 minutes ago, cosmicway said:

No results from battleground states so far.
But what is the swing ?

different poll closing times in different states

yet you are already making predictions

I posted all the poll closing times earlier BTW

and so far the 'swing' is in Harris's favour (BUT FAR TOO EARLY to draw ANY conclusions)

[Vesper 28,691]

1 minute ago, Sir Mikel OBE said:

I live here. You know something we dont?😉

they do not know anything substantive atm

it is all far too early (and actually Harris is running ahead ATM of Biden 2020 and Clinton 2016 in key GA areas, granted that is absolutely subject to change)

[cosmicway 1,313]

2 minutes ago, Vesper said:

different poll closing times in different states

yet you are already making predictions

I posted all the poll closing times earlier BTW

and so far the 'swing' is in Harris's favour (BUT FAR TOO EARLY to draw ANY conclusions)

In Gr we used to have the swing on the official Singular computer company cards.
It was accurate.
Now they have stopped it.

Edited yesterday at 00:28 by cosmicway

[Vesper 28,691]

Just now, cosmicway said:

In Gr we used to have thw swing on the Singular computer company cards.
It was accurate.
Now they have stopped it.

the US is massively different from the UK in terms of struture and the forces of flux

especially this election

[Sir Mikel OBE 4,916]

1 minute ago, Vesper said:

they do not know anything substantive atm

it is all far too early (and actually Harris is running ahead ATM of Biden 2020 and Clinton 2016 in key GA areas, granted that is absolutely subject to change)

Polls in this part of Georgia are still open for another hour or so because of "issues". We wont know anything substantive for a few hours at least.

[Vesper 28,691]

[Vesper 28,691]

I want all to remember I projected Trump wins GA in a very close race

but it is still far too early, and GA was deffo one of the states I struggled mightily to make my final prediction on

[Sir Mikel OBE 4,916]

3 minutes ago, Vesper said:

Death 

Taxes

and Bernie