cosmicway

I wonder if all those opinion polls are based on the swing theory or not. The swing theory is essentially a variance reduction technique. What is it ? It is we ask the participants not only which way they are going to vote but also which way they voted last time. Then we work with ratios instead of sums. So if the accuracy without swing measurement is ±2%, now it becomes ±1.5% or ±1%. Are they doing that ? You could n't apply swing theory in the brexit referendum - difficult. But in general elections we can.

Trump has won the battle of taxes. Taxes are always useful for the government, for national projects. The army and the navy first and foremost, but also roads, parks, monuments inside parks and other things. But their usefulness in the daily life of the citizens is limited as well as ambiguous. For the common Joe Bloggs it means two weeks vacations instead of four. The Greek socialist governments for instance brag about "tourism for the people". Fine. You fancy a stay in the island of Tino in the month of December ? Waves ten meters high, torrential rains like in the tropics. Of course the money goes into the pockets of socialist aparachicks but that's another story. And it's not even Tino. What I think is available is the top of mount Kaimakchalan, where the Greeks had been fighting the Italians. Socialist taxes are a nightmare. First they are directed against rich and poor alike. The big multinational corporations actually like this because it kills competition. A little more tax on them does n't hurt. The hunt for undeclared swimming pools does n't hurt them because theirs are declared. If you own one of the two big carpet galleries do you like the gypsy woman who used to sell carpets in the flea markets ? Not so good those, but some people make do with them so you love to see them taxed out of business. Also the big companies immediately pass the additional cost due to socialist taxes to the consumer. So you go to the supermarketand the prices have gone up. The answer ? Eat peeled tomatoes stuffed with rice because it's cheap. The socialists along with their communist cousins live in the 19th century world of Dostoyevski, the little girl with the matches. They believe the lower economic classes are allf brick layers and dockyar dworkers. So the various "capitalist wannabes" must be punished. The communists in particular believe we are all factory workers ready to come out in the streets and start the revolution. They don't realise even the basic fact that most factories are nowadays away in the suburbs, in the countryside and the workers are transported with company buses. How am I going to march from somewhere near the airport to the centre and start the revolution ? Hence Trump wins.

The Trumpees hate Mexicans more than anything else. 90% of Trump ideology is anti-mexican. Strange thing, "our" Nigel, Lepen, Orban don't even talk about Mexicans. Vaguely I remember some stories about Chilean pickpockets in Athens in the seventies, but nothing more. The Americans have a history though. Cuba became communist and remains communist for 35 years now after communism in Russia has been expunged. Why ? Because the yanks don't want it to become a state. They say "never - Cuba is only for cigars". This bizarre mentality culminated in Trumpism. You d' expect yanks to want Cuba to become American, very much like the Argentinians are after the Malvinas (Falklands) that are neigbouring their shores. What if Putin decides to send some nukes over there to Habana ? It does n't even make sense.

Betfair is blacked out in Greece. I was watching oddschecker.com and it was like I say above. Betfair is sometimes strange. Now what do they say ?

There are some folks though who will resist even irrefutable maths. They believe they can win in the casino roulette. I explain them. They say they understand then shake their head and say "... yes but real life is not maths". What real life ? They come down from the mountain skint. But they don't give up. It's something very peculiar. If you believe Panathinaikos can beat Chelsea it's not so bad - they have done it once against Arsenal, Olympiakos last year against Aston Villa and Villa was a very tired team but a win is a win. Let that be - believe. But this one ? How do you explain ?

nicht firstainhud

Yes because you don't know the story. How can the "Oedipodian syndrome" refer to what you say when Oedipus was not aware ?

You quote the same post of mine twice because you think your second quote is more clever. That's a cheat.

He did n't say that. Also Oedipus the man did n't know he was doing that. He did n't know Jocasta was his mother.

Wrong argument because it can be proven mathematically that the earth is flat. It involves some rather complex algerbra and although not true, mathematically it stands. As for the space station image it is influenced by light refraction to give the impression of a sphere can be argued. So the flat earther maintains his views.

Freudism is good in certain areas. First the childhood trauma. The patient exhibits a certain strange behaviour because of a childhood trauma. As it was too early in his life he has forgoten about it but the trauma is what has adjusted his behaviour. Deep hypnosis makes him remember and then recover. Then misconceptions. We all have misconceptions. One such might be the Pythagorean theorem. The sum of the squares of the two vertical sides is equal to the square of the hypotenuse. Unlikely that someone gets this wrong but what if he actually did ? What if he believed the sums of the squares of the vertical sides is greater than or equal the square of the hypotenuse ? He would live the life of a madman for sure ! If you think this is childish, the misconception could be about something a little more complicated. The Freudian tecchnique explains this to the patient and he recovers. For other things maybe not. Sex mania for example. Maybe Freud cannot cure sex mania,

63% maybe.

1.30 maybe but I not in the last days - in July, August. In the last days it was something like 1.90 - 2.20 as I recall. Anyway 1.50 is strong as elections go.

He was manhandled, like police-pitch invaders.

Let him shoot long balls wide. As long as he is not trying to pass near.

6 mins plus Nkunku. But it was a pen. If not then teams should be allowed to bring policemen into the pitch to catch people.

Should have been easy but we made it into a thriller. I noticed Madueke before his substitution was walking, we wer playing with ten men,

We may even lose. I remember one against them when we had 90% possession, Under Conte I think it was. The win a free kick in the last minute of extra time, in the midfield, near the sideline. Deliver a high cross, pops right on the head of one of their players, he scores. There was no chance for any Chelsea defender to intercept, no chance for our keeper Kepa to intercept either ! Probability of this happening the way it happened is 0.00000000001%. The game did not restart.

Defense has problems again.

The odds are now Trump = 1.53, Harris = 2.50. It's hard lines for Harris. The consensus of opinion is whoever wins Pennsylvania wins, but in Pennsylvania Trump is marginally ahead. I don't know what she might have done better. For me taxes. The dems ought to be lowering taxes by as much as they can not putting them up. Because even the taxes on the rich are eventually hurting the poor people. The money of the rich do not trickle down by as much as the Reaganomics theory suggests but taxes do trickle down: Tax goes up by 3% - prices go up by 3% the next day. It depends of course on what it is they sell and how essential it is but overall it is automatic - the extra cost goes to the consumer, it's a law of commerce. Even nationalized companies do the same. The government finds it necessary to milk them some more, they raise their prices. To have the pie and the dog one must fix prices as well - but this is more difficult, maybe unconstitutional as well.

But they were not such good generals.

The new psychology without Freud:

Gay liberation front is against Freud.

I don't profess to know many things about clinical psychology. Naturally I 'm suspicious of left wing attacks against the work of Sigmund Freud as with everything that emanates from the fellow-traveling left. But I do not wish to dwelve any further. My theory is well founded and has nothing to do with Freud - NikkiCFC brought Freud into it not me. It's like this: Modern people like to kill instead of making friends and the "nightingales of the north" was a form of friendship, albeit a hanky-pankyish one.