Politics & Stuff

[cosmicway 1,333]

In 2016 we had solid predictions at this hour.
First Hillary that went wrong.
I went outside for five minutes to buy fags and when I returned it was Trump and became certainty after another half hour.

[Sir Mikel OBE 4,920]

  On 06/11/2024 at 00:53, cosmicway said:

So ? 

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The country, and system, is vastly different.

[Fulham Broadway 17,092]

  On 06/11/2024 at 00:56, cosmicway said:

In 2016 we had solid predictions at this hour.
First Hillary that went wrong.
I went outside for five minutes to buy fags and when I returned it was Trump and became certainty after another half hour.

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When you say 'fags' you mean cigarettes, yes ?

[cosmicway 1,333]

  On 06/11/2024 at 00:57, Sir Mikel OBE said:

The country, and system, is vastly different.

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Look here is how it works:
You have in your computer the results of 2020 from the exact polling stations that report and you calculate the swing.
It's simple.

[Sir Mikel OBE 4,920]

  On 06/11/2024 at 00:56, cosmicway said:

In 2016 we had solid predictions at this hour.
First Hillary that went wrong.
I went outside for five minutes to buy fags and when I returned it was Trump and became certainty after another half hour.

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[cosmicway 1,333]

  On 06/11/2024 at 00:58, Fulham Broadway said:

When you say 'fags' you mean cigarettes, yes ?

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aber ?

[cosmicway 1,333]

I know about the commie laws that ban smoking.
Yes fags.

[Vesper 29,448]

  On 06/11/2024 at 00:41, robsblubot said:

He's more popular... perhaps for the wrong reasons, but... 🤷‍♂️

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[Fulham Broadway 17,092]

  On 06/11/2024 at 01:00, cosmicway said:

I know about the commie laws that ban smoking.
Yes fags.

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Just checking. It is Greece after all.

[robsblubot 3,595]

  On 06/11/2024 at 01:01, Vesper said:

 

 

 

 

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Good but I'm not sure favorability is the same a popularity. Infamous individuals are popular too.

[robsblubot 3,595]

  On 06/11/2024 at 01:03, robsblubot said:

Good but I'm not sure favorability is the same a popularity. Infamous individuals are popular too.

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OK maybe I'm misusing the word "popular."

I think I simply meant "well-known."

[cosmicway 1,333]

  On 06/11/2024 at 01:03, Fulham Broadway said:

Just checking. It is Greece after all.

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In UK you too you could buy from the vending machines after hours.
Now with the various loony governments you have, Farage, Boris, I don't know.

Edited November 6, 2024 by cosmicway

[Vesper 29,448]

  On 06/11/2024 at 00:59, cosmicway said:

Look here is how it works:
You have in your computer the results of 2020 from the exact polling stations that report and you calculate the swing.
It's simple.

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there are a tonne of other differences

and I already showed some 'swing' projections (early ones, not final counts)

both good news and bad news for both candidates, depending on what limted data and area we are looking at

[cosmicway 1,333]

  On 06/11/2024 at 01:05, Vesper said:

there are a tonne of other differences

and I already showed some 'swing' projections (early ones, not final counts)

both good news and bad news for both candidates, depending on what limted data and area we are looking at

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Potentially yes, but it works.

[Fulham Broadway 17,092]

Looks like Harris needs to do well in the suburbs, and Trump needs to have won support from young black and hispanics. That and Pennsylvania...

[cosmicway 1,333]

  On 06/11/2024 at 01:09, Fulham Broadway said:

Looks like Harris needs to do well in the suburbs, and Trump needs to have won support from young black and hispanics. That and Pennsylvania...

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His comedian Hinchcliffe is not even funny.
The sort of guy you don't pay and then he takes you to court and the case is dismissed.
At first I thought he was something like Bob Hope.

Edited November 6, 2024 by cosmicway

[Vesper 29,448]

  On 06/11/2024 at 01:03, robsblubot said:

Good but I'm not sure favorability is the same a popularity. Infamous individuals are popular too.

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most are not

it is why they are 'infamous' lol

do not confuse 'well known' with 'popular'

Hitler

Pol Pot

Epstein

Manson

Mussolini

Stalin

Mao

bin Laden

Putin

etc

[Vesper 29,448]

great early trend in Michigan for Harris