Politics & Stuff

[Vesper 30,190]

What will it take for a former president to speak out against Trump?

The silence from former occupants of the Oval Office has been deafening as the incumbent cuts a destructive path

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/mar/08/trump-former-presidents-criticism

The stadium announcer called on the crowd to give a warm welcome to “a very special guest”. A cheer went up as basketball fans realised that Barack Obama was in their midst. The former US president rose to his feet, smiled and waved before watching the Los Angeles Clippers take on the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday night.

It was a jarringly normal scene at a profoundly abnormal time. The previous evening, Donald Trump had delivered the longest-ever presidential address to Congress, a dark, divisive tirade strewn with lies and insults – he called Joe Biden the “worst president in American history” and the senator Elizabeth Warren “Pocahontas”.

Yet Biden did not respond and Obama remained silent. Former presidents Bill Clinton and George W Bush were similarly mute. Six weeks into a Trump second term that has shattered democratic norms and ruptured diplomatic alliances, it remains unclear what – if anything – might prompt the former presidents to speak out.

Larry Sabato, director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia, said: “Let’s look only at Clinton and Obama: it’s almost as though they’ve washed their hands of it.

“I’ve been calling them Pontius and Pilate,” he said, referring to the Roman governor who allowed Jesus to be crucified. “You can understand why because when you challenge Trump, he goes after you and never lets up. It’s hell every single day, multiple times a day.”

Trump’s barnstorming first six weeks in office have left millions of Americans reeling. He has pardoned January 6 insurrectionists, punished journalists, imposed tariffs, sided with Russia over Ukraine, expanded presidential power and unleashed the tech billionaire Elon Musk to slash the federal government. Critics say it is time to break the emergency glass.

Struggling to find a coherent strategy, Democrats used delaying tactics to stall Trump’s cabinet nominees and heckled his address to Congress. Grassroots activists have expressed their anger and fear at town halls while demanding more direct action. Notably, former senior government officials have gone public with their concerns.

Last month, a group of five former treasury secretaries wrote a joint essay for the New York Times warning that the nation’s payment system was under attack by political actors from Musk’s so-called “department of government efficiency”, or Doge.

Then, five former defence secretaries signed a joint letter calling on Congress to hold immediate hearings on Trump’s recent firings of the chair of the joint chiefs of staff and several other senior military leaders.

The presidents’ club has its own etiquette, however. The five men have gathered twice recently, first at the Washington national cathedral for Jimmy Carter’s state funeral, where Obama and Trump were seen conversing and even sharing a joke. Then, they reunited at Trump’s inauguration, where Biden was forced to listen to his presidency being described as “a horrible betrayal”.

Since then, all the ex-presidents have resisted the temptation to stage a significant intervention. Sabato believes that one factor is an awareness that Trump – and his vituperative supporters – would be sure to strike back, including at family members such as Hillary Clinton, a former first lady and secretary of state who ran against Trump in the 2016 election.

“Bill Clinton is close to 80 and he’s been attacked a lot in his lifetime,” Sabato said. “I’m not sure he wants any more of it and then there’s Hillary – he has to realise that Trump would go after her, too. With Obama, the more I think about it, the more I believe that little friendly chat at Jimmy Carter’s funeral either was part of Obama’s plan or, once it happened, he decided to capitalise on it and keep his mouth shut so that he wouldn’t be the target again.”

I get it. But I think they have an obligation to do more

Larry Sabato

He added: “It’s unpleasant. Trump unleashes this army of assholes and we’ve all experienced them on Twitter and in other ways. I get it. But I think they have an obligation to do more.”

 

Certainly the former presidents’ feeds on the X social media platform do not convey a sense of a nation in crisis. Bill Clinton has posted tributes to political figures who died in recent weeks, although Hillary Clinton has been more combative – for example, by responding to the suspension of offensive cyber operations against Russia with sarcasm: “Wouldn’t want to hurt Putin’s feelings.”

Bush does not have an X account, although his Texas-based presidential centre this week posted an article headlined, “America First should not put Russia second”, condemning Trump and JD Vance for attacking Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

Obama’s X account, which has more than 130 million followers, did post a New York Times article by Samantha Power, former administrator of USAid, decrying Trump’s cuts to the international development agency. But it then offered congratulations to the Philadelphia Eagles on their Super Bowl win and a Valentine’s Day message to his wife, Michelle, who did not accompany him to Carter’s funeral, the inauguration or Wednesday’s basketball game in California.

Biden has kept a low profile since flying out of Washington on 20 January apart from signing with a Los Angeles talent agency. His X feed includes congratulations to the new Democratic National Committee chair, Ken Martin, reactions to the release of Hamas hostages, a Valentine’s message to wife Jill, reflections on Black History Month, a picture of his beloved Amtrak train service and a tribute to the late representative Sylvester Turner.

It is not hard to imagine how Biden must have seethed as Trump bullied and berated Zelenskyy in the Oval Office last week and threatened to tear up the 80-year transatlantic alliance that Biden had striven to renew. Yet he offered no public reaction.

David Litt, an author and former Obama speechwriter, said: “There’s the question of, is this protocol or is this patience. Protocol is pretty clearly out the window at this point, including Trump spending a good chunk of his address to Congress bashing Joe Biden. That is just not done and yet it’s done now.

You get one moment when that has the greatest impact so you want to pick that moment carefully

David Litt

“Certainly Trump was not shy about criticising the current administration when he was an ex-president. I suspect that in 2029, if he is still physically able to tweet what he thinks about whoever’s in office, he will do so.”

The death of George HW Bush in 2018 left his son, George W Bush, as the only living Republican president apart from Trump himself, raising the question of when Bush could join Clinton, Obama and Biden in a powerfully symbolic show of bipartisanship.

Litt added: “You get one moment when that has the greatest impact so you want to pick that moment carefully. Trump going further in selling out our allies and also forging a new alliance with Putin and Russia to me sounds like the kind of thing that might cross a line where a bipartisan group of former presidents would say this isn’t right.”

There is traditionally reluctance among presidents to criticise a successor, especially during the opening honeymoon period. However, history is littered with exceptions to the rule.

Theodore Roosevelt lambasted William Taft in a series of speeches, even though Roosevelt had promoted Taft as his successor in 1909. Carter eviscerated Ronald Reagan, who beat him in 1980, for sending arms to Iran in hopes that Americans held captive in Lebanon would be released.

Clinton had a dig at his successor, George W Bush, for failing to achieve democratic progress in Iraq, saying in a 2007 interview: “The point is, that there is no military victory here.” Bush, in turn, reportedly told a closed-door meeting in 2015 that Obama’s decision to lift sanctions on Iran was a mistake.

The answer for Democrats is not backwards. It’s not in the past. It’s got to be somewhere forward-looking

Kurt Bardella

Obama denounced his successor Trump’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic in 2020 as an “absolute chaotic disaster” during a conversation with ex-members of his administration. He also warned that the “rule of law is at risk” under the 45th president.

But none of it compared with Trump’s constant and vicious attacks on Biden during the Democrat’s four years in the White House. Trump mocked his successor as “Crooked Joe” and “Sleepy Joe” and claimed that he had caused “more damage than the last 10 worst presidents combined”.

Whether a return of fire from Biden, who left office with an approval rating in the 30s and could be accused of being a sore loser, would benefit his party at this moment is questionable. Kurt Bardella, a Democratic strategist, said: “The answer for Democrats is not backwards. It’s not in the past. It’s got to be somewhere forward-looking and that’s what they’ve got to figure out here.”

Bardella said of the former presidents: “If I were them, I would get behind someone right now and say this is the guy or girl that I believe in. Stop playing the: ‘I don’t want to step on anyone’s toes or prematurely step out of line.’ We don’t have time for that crap. Get in the game or don’t ever talk again. If you don’t have anything to say now, while this is going before our very eyes, I don’t want to hear from you ever again.”

 

[Vesper 30,190]

[Vesper 30,190]

Trump declines to rule out recession amid tariffs’ effects on markets

Trump’s acknowledgment of economic turbulence was a reversal from previous cheering of his policies, and it contrasted with reassurances from his own advisers Sunday.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/03/09/trump-recession-economy-inflation/

WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. — President Donald Trump declined to rule out a recession this year as the economy stutters from his efforts to impose tariffs and rebuild the U.S. manufacturing sector, acknowledging in an interview broadcast Sunday that “it takes a little time” before Americans will see a payoff from his policies.

Trump’s recognition of the turbulence in the U.S. economy was a reversal from previous cheering that his policies would deliver quick victories to voters and businesses, and it stood in contrast to reassurances from his own advisers Sunday that no recession was in sight. Trump also downplayed the dropping stock market despite years in which he claimed credit for its rise, saying in the Fox News interview, which was taped Thursday, that “you have to do what’s right” even if markets don’t like it.

The recognition of the economic disruption was notable given that Trump swept into office in part because of voter discontent about years of inflation under President Joe Biden. But that inflation slowed in Biden’s final year in office, and most economists say that Trump inherited a fairly strong and stable economy.

Trump pushed Biden on the stock market, inflation and the overall economy — all issues on which he is now telling voters to look the other way.

Asked by Fox News anchor Maria Bartiromo on “Sunday Morning Futures” whether he was expecting a recession this year, Trump said: “I hate to predict things like that. There is a period of transition, because what we’re doing is very big. We’re bringing wealth back to America. That’s a big thing. And there are always periods of, it takes a little time. It takes a little time, but I think it should be great for us.”

On his way back to Washington from Mar-a-Lago on Sunday, Trump defended his hesitation about a recession. “I tell you what, of course you hesitate. Who knows?” But he also expressed more optimism about the nation’s longer-term economic prospects.

“You just watch,” he said. “We’re going to have jobs. We’re going to have open factories. It’s going to be great.”

Trump said his economic policies shouldn’t be swayed by the broad-based market sell-off in recent weeks as he has moved to impose tariffs on countries around the world, most notably hiking levies on China. Mexico and Canada are also facing large new tariffs, although Trump has repeatedly postponed them.

The S&P 500 index is down 3.8 percent since Trump was inaugurated Jan. 20, and down 6 percent from its all-time high on Feb. 19. Consumer sentiment is at a 15-month low as worries compound about layoffs and rising prices.

“If you look at China, they have a 100-year perspective. We have a quarter. We go by quarters, and you can’t go by that. You have to do what’s right,” Trump said about the stock market. “What we’re doing is we’re building a tremendous foundation for the future.”

He said that businesses always say they want “clarity” about tariffs, but that’s “almost a sound bite.” He added that tariffs “may go up. I don’t think we’ll go down.”

The president has repeatedly postponed tariffs against Canada and Mexico but said in the interview that April 2 was the final deadline. Separate 25 percent tariffs on steel and aluminum imports are set to go into effect Wednesday.

Inflation has hit Americans in other ways that Trump has sought to downplay. As avian influenza has driven egg prices, which started to rise under Biden, even higher under Trump, the president has also started to tell Americans not to focus on them. Trump on Saturday reposted an article by the conservative activist Charlie Kirk, whose headline was “Shut Up About Egg Prices — Trump Is Saving Consumers Millions.”

Trump and his top aides have started to try to shift the discussion around inflation after hammering Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris about it for years. Trump and his team say their “America First” economic policies are focused more on building jobs and opportunities inside U.S. borders than prioritizing low prices for consumers.

“Access to cheap goods is not the essence of the American Dream. The American Dream is rooted in the concept that any citizen can achieve prosperity, upward mobility and economic security,” Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told the New York Economic Club on Thursday. “For too long, the designers of multilateral trade deals have lost sight of this. International economic relations that do not work for the American people must be reexamined.”

Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick told NBC’s “Meet the Press” on Sunday that there were no plans to change the steel and aluminum tariffs — and, unlike his boss, he dismissed concerns about a recession.

The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta is now forecasting that U.S. economic output will decline 2.8 percent in the first quarter of 2025 after nearly three years of growth. Economists define a recession as two successive quarters of decline.

Economists repeatedly warned about a looming recession during Biden’s four years in office, but it never materialized.

Americans should “absolutely not” brace for a recession, Lutnick said on the program.

Trump is “going to win for the American people. That’s just the way it’s going to be. There’s going to be no recession in America,” he said. “What there’s going to be is global tariffs are going to come down because President Trump has said, ‘You want to charge us 100 percent? We’re going to charge you 100 percent.’”

Lutnick added: “I would never bet on recession. No chance.”

Trump and his advisers have argued that the end result of his policies will be that prices for U.S.-made goods are lower while foreign-made ones are higher, and that the health of the overall economy will be better once their policies are allowed time to take effect, with a lower deficit and lower interest rates. They point to decisions by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., which announced plans for a $100 billion investment in Arizona, and similar announcements from other major companies as evidence that their efforts are already working.

Many economists disagree with their assessment, saying that tariffs will significantly increase prices, posing a challenge to efforts to lower interest rates. Rebuilding the U.S. manufacturing sector will be far more complex than reimposing trade barriers, some of them say, noting that U.S. manufacturing jobs have been declining for generations because of a complex cocktail of automation, trade policies, the rise of China and shifts in corporate behavior.

And Trump’s vow not to touch the politically popular programs that are the major elements of federal spending — Social Security and Medicare — will make cutting the deficit nearly impossible, economists say, especially as the president proposes new tax cuts.

“It’s important for people to realize we run $2 trillion deficits and Donald Trump is going to try to balance the budgets of the United States of America,” Lutnick said. “We’re going to bring manufacturing back, that’s where we’re going. … Will there be distortions? Of course. Foreign goods may get a little more expensive, but American goods are going to get cheaper.”

[KEVINAA 129]

 

[Fulham Broadway 17,319]

 Trump's 'body odor' leaves people 'gagging' as Republican says 'you'd need a mask'

Former Rep. Adam Kinzinger described the "pungent odor" of President Donald Trump during his chat on Jimmy Kimmel Live! 

Kimmel then posed the burning question: "What did it smell like specifically? "

"So, if you take, armpits, ketchup, makeup and  butt, it's probably like that, all mixed up," Kinzinger remarked. "That's the Trump formula? " Kimmel queried.  Kinzinger responded. "You definitely wouldn't want to bottle it up and wear Trump cologne."

Irish News

[Vesper 30,190]

Texas bill would make identifying as transgender a felony punishable by jail

https://www.nbcnews.com/nbc-out/rcna195642

 

A Texas state bill could charge transgender people with “gender identity fraud,” making it illegal to identify as trans on official documents and potentially leading to jail time. 

The bill, which was filed last week by Republican state Rep. Tom Oliverson, would make it a state jail felony if a person “knowingly makes a false or misleading verbal or written statement” by identifying their sex assigned at birth incorrectly to a governmental entity or to their employer. State jail felonies in Texas are punishable by up to two years in jail and a fine of up to $10,000.

Oliverson did not immediately return a request for comment. So far, the bill has no other co-sponsors, making it unlikely to pass, the Houston Chronicle reported. However, the bill is among the first of its kind nationally and is an example of how legislation targeting trans people has become more clear in its intent and more extreme in recent years, particularly in Texas. 

Last month, Texas state Rep. Brent Money, a Republican, filed a bill that would make it illegal for a health care provider to treat any patient, including adults, with puberty-suppressing medication, hormone therapy or surgeries if the purpose of the treatment is to affirm the patient’s gender identity. 

Money’s bill is a replica of a law enacted in 2023 that prohibits such treatments for minors. The text of the new bill shows the word “child” struck out and replaced with “person” to apply to adults. The bill would also prohibit medical institutions from receiving public funds if they provide any such treatments.  

Money did not immediately return a request for comment. After filing the bill, he said on X that the measure is intended to expand the law restricting care for minors.

“I want to make it clear that my heart goes out to those struggling with gender dysphoria,” he said, referring to the medical term for the severe emotional distress caused by the misalignment between one’s gender identity and birth sex. “These individuals deserve compassion, support, and real solutions to address their pain — not irreversible procedures that leave them scarred for life. This legislation isn’t about judgment; it’s about accountability.” 

He added that the bill targets doctors and “medical profiteers” who “exploit vulnerable people, pushing costly surgeries and lifetime pharmaceuticals for financial gain rather than offering genuine care.”

However, most, if not all, major medical associations in the U.S. — including the American Medical Association, the American Academy of Pediatrics and the American Psychological Association — support transition-related care for both minors and adults, and oppose restrictions on it. 

Multiple studies have found that access to transition-related care, including surgeries for adults, improves mental health outcomes. Last year, the National Center for Transgender Equality, which is now called Advocates for Trans Equality, released the largest nationwide survey of the trans community, with more than 90,000 respondents, and found that 94% reported that they were at least a little more satisfied with their lives. 

Texas has provided a blueprint over the last decade for states that have sought to restrict trans rights, becoming in 2017 one of the first states, alongside North Carolina, to consider a “bathroom bill,” which would’ve barred trans people from using the restrooms that align with their gender identities. 

The bill didn’t pass, but the state has enacted other measures targeting trans people. In March 2022, after failing to pass a bill restricting transition-related care for minors, the state’s attorney general issued a legal opinion that resulted in the Texas Department of Family and Protective Services opening child abuse investigations into parents who were suspected of having provided such care to their minor children.

The state went on to pass a transition-related care restriction, and it has also enacted a measure barring trans student athletes from playing on school sports teams that align with their gender identities, among others. Additionally, the state recently announced that an executive order signed by President Donald Trump bars it from allowing trans people to update the gender marker on their Texas birth certificates, state IDs and driver’s licenses. 

So far this year, Texas lawmakers have introduced nearly 170 state bills targeting LGBTQ people, according to Equality Texas, a state LGBTQ advocacy group. These include a new bathroom bill supported by a majority of the Texas House.

[Fernando 6,585]

Rubio confirms ICE arrest of pro-Palestinian Columbia student protest leader

https://thehill.com/homenews/education/5185620-rubio-ice-arrest-pro-palestinian-columbia-mahmoud-khalil-green-card-dhs-trump-immigration-crackdown/

[Fernando 6,585]

Trump warns that arrest of Palestinian activist at Columbia will be ‘first of many’

https://apnews.com/article/columbia-university-mahmoud-khalil-ice-6964107d218dba43eb995d6dbbe528b1

 

I think this is overkill. While I don't agree with their protest every one should free to protest as long as in a civilize manner and not looting and stuff like that. 

So very bad from Trump and administration. 

Edited March 10 by Fernando

[Vesper 30,190]

Tesla getting smashed

[Vesper 30,190]

Vladdy Daddy

 

[Fulham Broadway 17,319]

Musk’s net worth decreased by $29bn yesterday alone, and has fallen by $132bn over the past 12 months, as Tesla shares’ gains have been wiped out.

Tesla shares have declined every week since Trump took office, declining 15% on Monday alone.

He remains the richest man in the world with a fortune of more than $320bn, according to Forbes.

[Fernando 6,585]

7 minutes ago, Fulham Broadway said:

Musk’s net worth decreased by $29bn yesterday alone, and has fallen by $132bn over the past 12 months, as Tesla shares’ gains have been wiped out.

Tesla shares have declined every week since Trump took office, declining 15% on Monday alone.

He remains the richest man in the world with a fortune of more than $320bn, according to Forbes.

Still believe it will go up soon. 

Especially if the war in Ukraine ends. 
Today seems like a first step, waiting of Russia response now. 

[Fulham Broadway 17,319]

25 minutes ago, Fernando said:

Still believe it will go up soon. 

Especially if the war in Ukraine ends. 
Today seems like a first step, waiting of Russia response now. 

Good news if Russia agree to a peace deal

I think no way Tesla shares will recover to what they were -  it seems most of the World are not happy with Musk and reckon hes bit of a fascist cunt

[Fernando 6,585]

Trump tariffs

Canada backs down from 25% electricity surcharge after Trump threats

Ontario Premier Doug Ford had placed a 25% duty on electricity imported by the U.S. Trump responded by threatening to raise steel and aluminum tariffs by 50%.

 

https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/trump-canada-doubles-tariffs-national-emergency-electricity-rcna195810

 

 

[Fulham Broadway 17,319]

During his election campaign last year, Donald Trump promised Americans he would usher in a new era of prosperity.

Meanwhile, analysts say the odds of a downturn are increasing, pointing to his policies.

A JP Morgan report put the chance of recession at 50%, up from 30% at the start of the year, warning that US policy was "tilting away from growth", while Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, upped the odds from 15% to 35%, citing tariffs. 

Tech analyst Gene Munster of Deepwater Asset Management wrote on social media this week that the chance of a recession increased "measurably" over the past month.

"The bottom line is that if we enter a recession, it will be extremely difficult for the AI trade to continue," he said.

AP

[Fernando 6,585]

5 hours ago, Fulham Broadway said:

During his election campaign last year, Donald Trump promised Americans he would usher in a new era of prosperity.

Meanwhile, analysts say the odds of a downturn are increasing, pointing to his policies.

A JP Morgan report put the chance of recession at 50%, up from 30% at the start of the year, warning that US policy was "tilting away from growth", while Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, upped the odds from 15% to 35%, citing tariffs. 

Tech analyst Gene Munster of Deepwater Asset Management wrote on social media this week that the chance of a recession increased "measurably" over the past month.

"The bottom line is that if we enter a recession, it will be extremely difficult for the AI trade to continue," he said.

AP

I have my doubts about the recession, as it's as good as gold. 

The same was said when FED started to rise interest rate and nothing happen. 

Same here the fear and monger is the same. Until we see some concrete info on Job this is more fear and monger. 

The possibility that market goes higher and to all time high again is there, and then all this fear and monger will go away. 

[Vesper 30,190]

 

[Vesper 30,190]

Why Are AOC and Bernie So Much Better at This?

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/why-are-aoc-and-bernie-so-much-better-at-this.html

Last month, as Elon Musk’s malevolent influence on Donald Trump’s second term was coming into focus, a friend DM’ed me a clip of Chuck Schumer leading a protest against Musk’s efforts to access sensitive Treasury Department data. “We will win! We will win!” croaked the Senate minority leader, the crowd clearly reluctant to join this confused approximation of what impassioned resistance might look like. My friend wrote, “We’re all gonna die.”

Being uninspired by the Democratic Party is a national pastime, but 2025 has ushered in new levels of loathing, with the party’s approval rating sinking to record lows. Schumer’s efforts have been so limp that a group of liberal governors in January begged him to grow a spine in opposing Trump’s agenda and cabinet nominees. Schumer’s counterpart in the House, Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, has fared no better, alternating between sphinxlike nonresponses to revelations that Trump had essentially bought New York City mayor Eric Adams in a quid-pro-quo deal with the Justice Department and bizarrely menacing anti-GOP diatribes performed in sweats in empty rooms. Congressional Democrats were widely mocked for the little protest paddles they held up during Trump’s State of the Union, while Representative Al Green was kicked out for a disruption that was derided as pathetic and unconvincing.

Meanwhile, California governor Gavin Newsom has started a podcast to interview conservative influencers and throw trans athletes under the bus, Representative Elissa Slotkin’s official rebuttal to Trump’s State of the Union address was a paean to Ronald Reagan, and Connecticut senator Chris Murphy has appeared on any news outlet that will have him speaking in a very loud voice about how mad he is. It can often seem that, when it comes to opposing Trump, Democrats have no idea what to say or how to say it.

This has not been the case, however, with the two most prominent leftists in the broader Democratic tent. Bernie Sanders has spent the first month and a half of Trump’s second presidency doing what you’d expect Bernie Sanders to do: raging against the corrosive influence of billionaires on politics. “I fear very much that under President Trump, we are not seeing a ‘government of the people, by the people, for the people,’ but rather a government of the billionaire class, by the billionaire class, and for the billionaire class,” the 83-year-old warned his Senate colleagues last month. He has sounded the same alarm during his “Fighting Oligarchy” tour, which has drawn thousands of attendees across the Midwest in recent weeks, including 2,600 people at a rally on Saturday in Altoona, Wisconsin, a town of only 10,000.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has been even more combative toward the administration, boycotting Trump’s swearing-in ceremony and State of the Union address while feuding with everyone from border czar Tom Homan to White House adviser and virulent xenophobe Katie Miller. Ocasio-Cortez’s critiques, in which she has called Musk “a leech on the public” for threatening to overhaul Social Security and immediately condemned the detention of pro-Palestine activist Mahmoud Khalil, feel both precise and cathartic and regularly go viral. Ocasio-Cortez will join Sanders on the road soon while launching her own solo appearances in Republican-held districts.

There is solace to be found in these familiar spectacles, reassurance that, even with the government and civil society exploding around us, some Democrats can be counted on to fight back and fight back well. But it also raises a question that will define the next four years in American politics: Why are Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez so much better at this than their colleagues?

One answer is that they have credibility and devoted followings built over the years they’ve spent at odds with not only Republicans but more moderate factions within their own caucus. They are as disappointed with the Democrats as seemingly the rest of America is. Sanders is a grizzled relic of the kind of class politics that was swept aside by genteel liberals like Bill Clinton and Barack Obama, and his diagnosis that the party was undone in 2024 because it abandoned the working class lines up with analyses that have been offered up by gloating MAGA Republicans and disillusioned anti-woke liberals alike. Ocasio-Cortez, for her part, has proven deft at integrating herself with the Establishment but remains a go-to scapegoat for the party whenever something goes wrong. When the centrist think tank Third Way urged Democrats to move “away from the dominance of small-dollar donors” in its post-2024 autopsy, it was hard not to interpret it as a shot at Ocasio-Cortez.

Broadly speaking, each has a track record of standing by principles and beliefs that make their protests against Trumpism both coherent and believable. This is one of the advantages of belonging to one wing of the party, as opposed to bearing responsibility for the coalition as a whole — the purview of congressional leaders like Schumer and Jeffries and potential presidential aspirants like Murphy and Newsom. But it does put a glaring spotlight on the fact that mainstream Democrats have been so consumed by a desire to triangulate that they seem to have no idea what they believe in.

No wonder thousands of people in Republican districts are lining up to see Sanders while so many Democrats are begging his colleagues in their own districts to do something. Which has some intriguing implications for who will lead the Democrats going forward, since it is the moderates who own the conventional wisdom on what’s best for the party but the leftists who have the energy. The liberal pundit Matt Yglesias interpreted the “Fighting Oligarchy” tour as a ploy by Sanders to get the last laugh in the ongoing, never-ending fallout from the 2016 primary. “Is Bernie running in 2028?” Yglesias tweeted over the weekend. “Is he going to endorse someone?” Ocasio-Cortez retorted, “Believe it or not, some people’s everyday actions aren’t motivated by some long-term career ambition, but out of a genuine love for people and a desire to do right by them.”

While that may be true, Yglesias was right to identify a proxy battle for the party’s future. Mainstream Democrats intent on sidelining leftist insurgents seem to have not so much surrendered as fallen into self-defeating inertia, treating Trump’s popularity as such an article of faith that they have willingly sacrificed both their own popularity and the health of our society to avoid alienating his voters. It’s becoming harder, as Trump continues his rampage, to imagine spending the next four years taking cues from leaders whose principles are this difficult to ascertain.

[Vesper 30,190]

America’s Christian Right Is Coming to the U.K.

The Christian nationalist movement has undertaken a vast worldwide expansion. Hello, London? Texas calling.

https://newrepublic.com/article/192101/american-christian-right-coming-united-kingdom

The red-white-and-blue world of Christian nationalism is a fascinating place, but it can also get claustrophobic. After a dozen years of reporting on the subject, I began to feel restless and perhaps at times a little unsafe. When I relocated, temporarily and for family reasons, from the United States to the U.K. in 2021, I therefore welcomed the distance. Though I planned to continue my reporting with regular return trips and a seemingly permanent virtual presence, I felt lighter and more carefree. London was my escape.

We found lodgings through an old friend in the Clerkenwell neighborhood, a jumble of Georgian row houses and converted warehouses that, almost two centuries ago, provided the setting for Charles Dickens’s novels Oliver Twist and Great Expectations and that now serves as a hub for media, design, and technology firms. It felt as far from MAGA-land as seemed decent to imagine. In those first days after the move, I set off on late-summer morning walks past eclectic restaurants and pub staff sweeping out the remains of the previous evening. I was elated. Here was a faraway perch from which to gain some perspective on the madness back in the homeland.

On a Sunday morning shortly after moving in, I step outside our new apartment for another exploratory ramble, and I hear singing. Humming along to a familiar-sounding tune, I discover a church at the other end of our very short block. The Clerkenwell Medical Mission is an elegant, square-shaped Victorian structure, and as the plaque outside explains, it was built to evangelize the disabled. A newer banner overhead announces the current incarnation of the building as GraceLife London.

The tune that I’m humming, I belatedly realize, is “Great Is Thy Faithfulness,” a twentieth-century worship classic at America’s evangelical and nondenominational churches. One artist who popularized it, Chris Rice, was something of a celebrity until 2020, when a church in Lexington, Kentucky, launched an investigation following accusations from a former student that Rice had sexually assaulted him on multiple occasions at youth retreats. (The church’s pastor issued a public statement deeming the allegations “credible because of the source of the allegations and corroborating evidence we have discovered.”) No matter, I think; the church on my street can’t be blamed for Rice’s misdeeds, and likely they don’t even know about it. I decide to take a look.

A friendly woman who appears to be in her mid-twenties, wearing a blue dress and box braids with a toddler at her side, waves me in at the door. “Are you new here?” she asks. She introduces herself as Dorcas and invites me to take some literature at the front table. I pick up several titles: Your Local Church and Why It Matters; Answering the Hard Questions About Forgiveness; and The Believer’s Armor: God’s Provision for Your Protection. Opening the latter book to the last page, I read: “Every time God’s Word leads a person to salvation, it demonstrates its power to cut a swath through Satan’s dominion of darkness and bring light to a darkened soul.”

The interior of the church is as olde-world as the outside. Time-worn rows of wooden pews face an elevated pulpit in the old style, and a dozen arched windows line the second story. The crowd inside is alive with smiles and hugs, and groups of congregants are engaging in boisterous conversation before the service. Perhaps the majority, like Dorcas, are Black, but I also see a mix of white, East Asian, and South Asian congregants, too. On the surface, I think as I look around the light-filled room, this gathering bears little resemblance to some of the traditional Southern Baptist services I have attended in the U.S., with their suburban settings and often racially homogeneous congregations. Then the preacher ascends to his pulpit, and I take my seat for the sermon.

The preacher is Black, and he speaks with an American accent. From the literature I gather his name is Adam Waller. He is telling a story about a conversation he once had. “Some years ago,” he said, “an older lady said to me, ‘Wouldn’t you be happy for it all to be over?’” She meant, he explained, this whole fallen world. He answered his own question: “Yes, I do wish this was over. Yes, I do wish it was over, we didn’t have to deal with the sinful world.”

Waller continued: “The lights will go out.… The sun will be darkened, the moon will not give us light, and the stars will fall from heaven. The powers of the heavens will be shaken.” He appears to read from the Bible in front of him: “There will be wars all over the earth, nation against nation, kingdom against kingdom, famines, pestilence, earthquakes.” He inhales audibly, and I realize that this is the windup. He is just getting started with the end of the world: “It will be massive. It will cause great destruction, great death. And it will be interrupted by the lights going out. This tribulation is so great that no man will be able to stop what is happening.” Mountains will tremble, we are told, the earth may come off its axis, and indescribable pain will be inflicted on all the men, women, and children who do not believe with their whole hearts in Waller’s preferred version of the Christian religion.

The sermon at the end of time continues for almost an hour. The only interruptions come from the pew behind me, where a young boy, who looks to be about eight years old, punctuates the gore with loud sniffles and the occasional cough. Now he clings to his mother, eyes at half mast, resting his head against her shoulder, his cheeks streaked with tears.

The former Clerkenwell Medical Mission building is now home to GraceLife London.

PHOTOGRAPH BY JASON ODDY FOR THE NEW REPUBLIC

While the talk of global annihilation continues, I discreetly scan the literature in my hands. I find a piece titled “The Church Must Confront Homosexuality as a Sin,” in which I am informed that “unrepentant homosexuality excludes one from inheriting the kingdom of God,” and that “Christians are under obligation to confront the sinfulness of homosexuality … nor can they stay silent about the terrible consequences that await those who practice homosexuality.”

Then comes an essay on “Marriage Myth Busting #2,” by Tom Drion, a pastor who helped to establish GraceLife London. “By examining God’s word, we can see that gender equality was not a foundational cornerstone God used to create paradise,” he writes. “In contrast to our twenty-first century ideals, God did not make men and women equal.” In Drion’s view, it all goes back to the Garden of Eden. “Eve’s role in her marriage was to be Adam’s helper. She was to help him carry out his will.” Lucky Adam, unlucky Eve: There isn’t much nuance in the theology of gender here. “To help anyone complete a task, we must submit ourselves to sit under the authority of the one who was commissioned to do the job. We must allow ourselves to be guided by the person who is leading the task … Eve’s God given role was to help [Adam].”

While Waller continues his catalog of the horrors that the earth’s people will endure on account of their failure to respect God’s gender order and other alleged moral crimes, I discreetly pull out my iPhone to check up on his Twitter feed (his account has since been deleted). One of his retweets from the previous summer gives a flavor of his social media presence: “Black Lives Matter (BLM) is inspiring a generation of young people to be angry, hateful, violent, rebellious, destructive, covetous, and envious under the guise of ‘justice.’ But true justice (impartial equity) is not what BLM wants. It has never wanted that and never will.” As a Black pastor from the States, Waller must know that he has strategic value for higher-ups in a church that is widely thought to be complicit in the racist demagoguery of right-wing American politics. In his sermon, however, he leaves no hint of self-awareness on the point.

After the service, I chat with Dorcas. She joined the church nine years ago, shortly after it was established. She lights up when I tell her I used to live in California. “We traveled to the Master’s Seminary in Los Angeles, which is where this church comes from,” she explains. “It’s where our pastors went through training before they started this church.” I smile and pretend I didn’t know that already.

 

GraceLife London is what is known as a “church plant.” It is one of hundreds of affiliated churches and ministries scattered around the world. It belongs to a church-planting parachurch network headquartered at Grace Community Church in Sun Valley, California. John MacArthur, who took over the pastorate of Grace Community Church in 1969, is a lion in America’s Christian nationalist circles but little known outside of them. His Sun Valley church draws thousands of weekly attendants, and the Master’s Seminary in Los Angeles, which he has led since 1986, has trained some of the most politically influential and connected of America’s Christian nationalist preachers in the same hyperpatriarchal, homophobic, end-times religion on display at GraceLife London.

MacArthur’s insistence on male domination over women leaves no room for any hopeful reinterpretation. He has instructed male seminarians not to speak at conferences with female speakers because it is “a total violation of Scripture.” His ministry has instructed victims of abuse to “submit” and remain with their abuser. In a typical 2012 sermon titled “The Willful Submission of a Christian Wife,” MacArthur instructs women to “rank yourself under” husbands. “A woman’s task, a woman’s work, a woman’s employment, a woman’s calling is to be at home,” he explains. “Working outside removes her from under her husband and puts her under other men to whom she is forced to submit.” In other writings, MacArthur turns repeatedly to familiar passages from Ephesians (“Wives, be subject to your husbands”) and Colossians (“Wives, be subject to your husbands, as is fitting in the Lord”). In another representative essay, MacArthur announces, “Biblical love excludes homosexuality because of its sinfulness. Christians can best share the gospel with homosexuals by calling their lifestyle what the Bible calls it—sin.” In yet another typical effort, this time on “Theology of Creation,” MacArthur offers a series of Bible verses that appear to condemn the theory of evolution and favor instead creationist doctrine.

Nominally, MacArthur and his church subscribe to Calvinist theology that purports to base its teachings on a literal reading of the Bible. But lumping his group in with “evangelicals” in general would be to overlook some subtle but important distinctions among those who fall under that label. The main-line Protestant denominations in the United States are shedding members, and the evangelical Southern Baptist Convention has trended toward decline. But MacArthur appears to represent a variety of hard-line, reactionary religion that is actually growing. Indeed, as far as MacArthur is concerned, the more conventional evangelicals are part of the problem. “Sadly, the broader evangelical church finds itself unprepared for the storm clouds of persecution gathering on the horizon. The net effect of weak theology, shallow preaching, syrupy sentimentalism in worship, and a consumer-driven approach to ministry has left the church vulnerable and infirm,” he has preached. “The world is indeed spiraling down at breakneck speed; and to a significant degree, the church is going with it.”

Setting aside the apocalyptic visions of the Book of Revelation, the Bible is of limited help in understanding the doctrines and appeal of the style of religion that MacArthur represents. Perhaps a better guide can be found on the daily talking points of conservative propaganda platforms. When MacArthur came out against COVID-19 vaccines, he cited Scripture, to be sure, but his arguments came straight from the disinformation mills of right-wing social media. The “government,” he claimed, had cooked up a pandemic, exaggerated the threat, and then pushed fake vaccines.

“There is no pandemic,” he said.

In America, Christian nationalism has thrived in the same disinformation space that has sheltered the MAGA movement and will host its inevitable successors. The religious leaders in this sector have their eyes fixed on the political leaders of the nation. One of the Master’s Seminary graduates, Ralph Drollinger, the president and founder of Capitol Ministries, led prayer sessions attended by some of the most powerful members of the Trump White House even as he built a missionary network aimed at high government officials across dozens of countries.

The politico-religious ambitions of reactionary religion extend far beyond U.S. borders. Grace Community Church in America may appeal to the America First crowd, but as with Capitol Ministries, it has undertaken a massive worldwide expansion. Its website offers a helpful map function, which lights up its affiliated church plants in multiple international locales, and of course my temporary hometown of London.

What exactly are they doing in the U.K.? This is a country where nonbelief appears headed for an absolute majority of the population. A survey by the Church of England found that less than 1 percent of the population can be found in church on any given Sunday. According to polls from YouGov and Gallup, only 9 percent of Britons reject the concept of evolution, as compared with the 38 percent of Americans who believe God created humans in their present form.

MacArthur and his seminarians don’t mind the long odds. When they look at the U.K., they see a lost country that needs to be retaken. And they plan to participate in the conquest using methods developed and tested in the United States.

MacArthur and his seminarians don’t mind the long odds. When they look at the U.K., they see a lost country that needs to be retaken. And they plan to participate in the conquest using methods developed and tested in the United States. Alongside its English founders, GraceLife London has now received reinforcements in the form of two additional ministers sent over from the United States. Adam Waller is one, and Michael Dionne of Faith Bible Church in Spokane, Washington, is the other.

“The vision of GraceLife London is not the revival of England, but the re-evangelization of England,” Dionne explains in a blog post. “What the country needs is a resurgence of faithful ministers and families ready to plant churches and preach the gospel, which is what GLL longs to do. The encouraging thing about this vision is that it is strictly biblical.” The goal, he adds, is to plant enough churches so that every inhabitant of Greater London is within 45 minutes of salvation—“meaning that almost 1/4 of England can be reached with sound, expository preaching, faithful shepherding and discipleship, and clear biblical evangelism.”

If there is a statistical grain of hope for ambitious churches seeking to re-evangelize the homeland, it is this: While the mainstream forms of Christianity in the U.K., primarily the Church of England, have declined precipitously over the past two decades, the Pentecostal and charismatic varieties that are on the rise around the world are up by double digits. The hotter and harder forms of evangelical religion are also gaining traction, often setting up shop by renting underutilized religious facilities, such as the Clerkenwell Medical Mission. And influential evangelical organizations in the U.K. are pursuing their agendas through a range of religious organizations as well as political strategies.

This, of course, is happening alongside the steady growth of Islam, which is up 44 percent in the U.K. over the last decade and now makes up at least 6.5 percent of the U.K. population. If there is religion in the U.K.’s future, it’s probably not going to center on the stately, museum-quality rituals of the Anglican church.

On my Sunday morning in London, I say goodbye to Dorcas and leave the church. I feel in need of some fresh air. The sight of the Australian fusion restaurant across the street, with its stylish clientele and fanciful coffee options, somehow offers relief from the lingering visions of damnation. Not more than two hundred yards to the west of GraceLife London I spot the storied St. James Church on Clerkenwell Green. Founded as a nunnery in the twelfth century, it rose to fame as a burial site for clergy, playwrights, and other colorful characters. It served as the venue for the 1632 wedding of Pocahontas’s and John Rolfe’s son, Thomas Rolfe, to his bride, Elizabeth. The churchyard, with its charming coffee kiosk, now functions as an unofficial community center and dog park. As I stroll over to St. James, I notice a bright, modern-looking banner over the door: Inspire St. James Clerkenwell.

St. James Church turns out to be now occupied by a group that delivers “biblical teaching” in a different flavor of the evangelical tradition. A separate group from GraceLife London at the Clerkenwell Medical Mission, but a parallel message nonetheless.

In a November 2023 talk on “God’s Good News for Our Sexuality,” Inspire St. James Clerkenwell’s vicar, Mark Jackson, offers a “biblical overview” of human sexuality. Among the consequences of Eve’s sin is that “He [Adam] will rule over her,” as Jackson says. Good news for whom? Inspire St. James Clerkenwell is a member of the Gospel Coalition (TGC), cofounded by the late Tim Keller. TGC-affiliated churches are required to conform to the organization’s theological doctrines. Marriages should be “complementarian”— which is a rather nicer way of saying that men are entitled to control and women must submit. God loves everyone, even gay people! But make no mistake, being gay is a sin. Above all, every person who fails to believe as they do will endure conscious torment for all eternity.

“Why are some people born with sexual attraction to those of the same sex?” Jackson asks. “It is all a consequence of the Fall. It’s Adam and Eve, turned from God’s goodness to their own way.”

That evening I stop in at a local pub, hoping to revive my spirits with a pint and some conversation. My new friends prove to be as convivial and reassuring as I had hoped. But one tells me he heard a rumor that a blizzard that struck the United States earlier that year, leaving four million Texans without power, had been generated by the government; he seems unsure as to whether or not this is true. I overhear a man at the next table haranguing his friend about another, supposedly liberal plot: “fifteen-minute cities.”

On my walk back to our apartment, I wrestle with the reality that the move to London will not offer quite the kind of escape I had anticipated. Surely the U.K. is not going to descend into the kind of culture wars that afflict so much of political life in the U.S., I tell myself. Some time after, I come across a promotional link to “Rethink Abortion Day,” a seminar aimed at training antiabortion activists in England.

 

On an early February morning, I ride the train to Birmingham and head to St. Mary’s College Oscott, a Catholic seminary. I enter an elegant building, adorned with stained-glass windows, elegant wooden carvings, and marble sculptures, which dates from the early nineteenth century. Passing through the somber stone hallways and serene cloisters, I make my way to the gathering spot for the day’s activities.

Several dozen attendees are already assembled in the cozy, wood-paneled conference room, and I take a seat on one of the fold-out chairs. An older lady in a colorful sweater smiles as she makes room for me. To my right is a young woman with auburn hair and thick glasses. She seems a bit nervous. As we chat a bit before the program begins, I begin to grasp the source of her anxiety; she feels out of step with her peers. “It’s good to be here with people who share the same views,” she tells me. Recently, she says, one of her closest friends, impregnated against her will by a guy she dated only briefly, decided to have an abortion. She now regrets that she didn’t interfere. “I just didn’t know what to say,” she tells me. She’s here today in hopes of learning the tactics of persuasion.

Overhearing our conversation, the older lady leans over. “I’ve joined some clinic pickets, but the young girls don’t pay attention to me. One of them said something rude,” she adds; the memory clearly stings. “But you’re young,” she adds, smiling encouragingly at the auburn-haired woman. “They’ll listen to you.”

With fifty or sixty participants settled into our seats, the day’s presentations begin. Much of the training is focused on the how-to of mounting demonstrations outside women’s health centers. Long a feature of abortion politics in the United States, antiabortion protests outside U.K. clinics and hospitals have surged in recent years, and the presenters at the Birmingham event can claim much of the credit. They include Ben Thatcher, director of March for Life U.K., a satellite of the U.S.-based March for Life, the organization behind the annual antiabortion demonstration that draws tens of thousands of participants to Washington, D.C. Another speaker, Dave Brennan, is the director of Brephos, which claims to help “churches respond to abortion” and is a spinoff of the U.S.-based Center for Bio-Ethical Reform (CBR). Apart from the Catholic entities cohosting this event, the key speakers delivering presentations at the Birmingham event are working with U.K. affiliates of U.S.-based organizations, and several of the presenters are associated with or have worked with other organizations that play key roles in America’s Christian nationalist movement.

Leading the discussion on demonstrations and antiabortion messaging are representatives of 40 Days for Life U.K., an affiliate of the U.S.-based 40 Days for Life. Founded in 2004 in Bryan, Texas—a small city that antiabortion activists have described as “the most antichoice place in the nation”—40 Days for Life specializes in training and organizing protests in front of abortion clinics and other providers. The stated aim is to dissuade women from going through with an abortion, though the usual effect is simply to bully and shame them for doing so. The group also runs a “university,” that is, an online program where, for $497, users can access multiple training videos on recruiting fellow protesters and, for just $29, performing sidewalk “counseling.” Participants can also obtain antiabortion signs and materials and receive personal coaching.

California’s Grace Community Church now has global ministries in multiple cities across five continents.

MAP BY HAISAM HUSSEIN

Forty Days for Life claims to operate in more than a thousand cities in sixty-three countries. The U.K. branch kicked off with campaigns in Northern Ireland in 2009 and now boasts at least fifteen chapters in the island nation. As I started to examine its origins in the U.K., I was not surprised to discover links to the Leadership Institute, a right-wing training powerhouse with revenue around $40 million per year that claims to have nurtured the careers of hundreds of thousands of right-wing activists. It is the same parent organization that offered training and support to Moms for Liberty and that hired Bridget Ziegler as their director of school board programs before she resigned in disgrace. Forty Days for Life’s U.K. leader, Robert Colquhoun, as it turns out, received assistance for his work in the field when he enrolled in the Leadership Institute’s International School of Fundraising.

At the antiabortion recruitment gatherings that I have attended in the United States, there is invariably the moment where speakers treat the audience to a slide show involving gory images of aborted fetuses. Birmingham does not disappoint. Taking the podium in a navy sweater and jeans and cheery attitude, Dave Brennan of the U.K. branch of CBR delivers the goods. The CBR is known in the U.S. for its use of graphic images, which are often enlarged and displayed as placards and billboards near playgrounds, schools, and other places where children congregate. The organization also attracted notice when some of its leaders compared aborted fetuses with victims of lynching and Nazi genocide.

But it’s not just abortion that they’re coming after; CBR has a much broader and more radical agenda. In line with its predecessor, Brennan’s U.K. affiliate opposes the most effective forms of contraception, including birth control pills and mini pills, implants, IUDs, and vaginal rings. Any method that prevents a united sperm and egg from implanting into the vaginal wall, Brennan’s group maintains, would “end human life.”

We must acknowledge, he tells the gathering as we take in a stream of gory images, that “our enemy is more powerful than we are, factually speaking, and he”—that is, Satan—“is determined.” He sketches a theology according to which saving the unborn is the greatest moral issue of our time. Implicitly acknowledging that the activists gathered in Birmingham represent both Catholic and Protestant traditions, he calls for “co-belligerence.” The idea—crafted in America over a period of 15 years and enshrined in a key 2009 document titled “Manhattan Declaration: A Call of Christian Conscience,” which was signed by a broad range of reactionary activists and theologians—is that Catholics and Protestants should set aside centuries of theological differences in order to fight their common enemies who support abortion, same-sex marriage, and other liberal causes.

Isabel Vaughan-Spruce, co-director of March for Life U.K., introduces a handout on the “ABC of Abortion,” which amounts to a series of rebuttals of counterarguments one is likely to hear while harassing patients at health centers. “We need to take back control,” Vaughan-Spruce says, her voice animated with a ­can-do lilt. “We want them to acknowledge it’s a baby, it’s a human, it’s a child.” She nods and smiles. “We’re not trying to bring our religious values in at this point. We’re not talking about anything political. We’re just talking about the scientific.”

During a break in the activities, the older lady to my left confides to me, “I read that now Satanists are getting pregnant on purpose so that they can have abortions.” I ask her where she picked up this idea. “I think it was Eternal Word,” she replies, referencing Eternal Word Television Network (EWTN), a worldwide media empire that some of its critics refer to as “the Fox News of Catholicism” and Pope Francis has suggested is “the work of the devil” because of its criticism of the Church from the right. She furrows her brow. “We’ve got to do something, because things keep getting worse and worse.”

The next speaker, Rachel Mackenzie, takes the stage. With her short pink hair, oversize poncho, and recurring scowl, she looks like she would fit right in at an Extinction Rebellion demonstration.

Mackenzie is affiliated with Rachel’s Vineyard, a faith-based U.S. organization dedicated to “healing the trauma of abortion.” It appears her specialty is promoting the trope that frames abortion as a harm to mothers and fathers. Dr. Theresa Burke, the founder of Rachel’s Vineyard, built her activist career as a pastoral associate of Priests for Life, whose national director is the provocateur and defrocked priest Frank Pavone. A zealous supporter of President Trump, Pavone drew attention to himself by actively promoting the Stop the Steal movement that spread the lie that the 2020 election was stolen.

“I’m just going to focus on truth and love and how to balance that … if truth is going to be communicated without love, it cannot and won’t be accepted,” Mackenzie advises us, her eyes flashing with righteous fury. Then her presentation takes a bizarre and sadistic turn. Mackenzie insists that even a ten-year-old rape victim should be expected to carry a pregnancy.

“You don’t get unraped by an abortion,” she sternly admonishes the Birmingham audience.

If a ten-year-old is raped, she says, “of course this situation is absolutely horrific. Of course that child deserves love. And it’s far from ideal. But considering the alternative is to go through an abortion then the most loving solution that we can offer is life.”

Rounding out the speakers in Birmingham is Father Sean Gough. With a steady demeanor, Gough echoes the messages of the earlier speakers, though he seems to want to soften the edges. Participants should avoid being “aggressive” in promoting their views, he tells us. Abortion is the “single greatest social justice issue of our time,” but we should never use words like “murder” or “murderer.” We want, he admonishes, to win souls.

 

The U.K. remains far behind the United States in the vigor of its culture war over women’s health-care rights. Indeed, the growing antiabortion activity around reproductive health facilities has sparked a backlash that appears to be limiting the movement’s policy gains for now. In early 2023, the U.K.’s highest court recognized that harassment around health-care facilities violates the rights of those seeking reproductive and sexual health services. Even many regional courts are enforcing clinic buffer zones. The courts frame these decisions as a means of protecting women from harassment, rather than casting clinic protests as a “free speech issue,” and the U.K. Parliament recently moved toward legislating the establishment of buffer zones around abortion clinics.

Even so, ritualized harassment and humiliation of women seeking medical care is hardly the only American contribution to the budding culture war over reproductive services in the U.K. U.S. organizations are also contributing to the establishment of antiabortion counseling centers. Billed as “crisis pregnancy centers,” these organizations attempt to dissuade women from seeking abortions, often by giving misleading or unethical advice. In the United States there are thousands of such operations, many affiliated with large networks like Heartbeat International and Stanton Healthcare. These organizations and others have now established multiple international affiliates.

According to a February 2023 investigation by the BBC’s Panorama broadcast, at least 57 such centers, operating outside of the auspices of the National Health Service, have opened in the U.K. The investigation asserted that over one-third were providing unsound or unethical medical advice.

The U.S.-based Stanton Healthcare, which operates a clinic in Belfast, recently expanded into Scotland. A reporter for The Times of London visited the Belfast clinic in 2018 and recorded a conversation, during which she was advised that abortion would make her breasts “fill with cancer.” She was told, “You could get your womb perforated, you might be left sterile.”

To get a better sense of these developments, I check in with Katherine O’Brien, a spokesperson for the nonprofit British Pregnancy Advisory Service.

“We’ve seen a real uptick in protest activity over this year,” she tells me. O’Brien cautions that it would be dangerous to underestimate the potential impact of these groups. “We know that antiabortion groups are well funded, well organized, and well connected with influential parliamentarians,” she says. “They are going into schools, into universities, and have a real drive to recruit the ‘next generation’ of antiabortion activists. They know they are playing the long game, and ... they believe that they will win, even if it takes decades.”

The American leaders of the antiabortion movement are well aware of the long-term potential of utilizing their resources to build up the movement overseas. A joint investigation by the U.K. publications The Observer and The Citizens, published in 2023, revealed that Right to Life U.K. increased its Facebook advertising budget more than ten times from 2020 to 2023.

At the U.K. March for Life in September 2022, Shawn Carney, the U.S. CEO of 40 Days for Life, stood in front of a banner bearing the slogan, “life from conception, no exception,” and referenced the overturning of Roe v. Wade.

“If we can do it,” he told the cheering crowd assembled in London’s Parliament Square, “you can do it.”

 

The U.K. Christian right is increasingly drawing on a U.S.-forged playbook. It is also drawing on U.S. money. But the U.K. has its own cadre of super-wealthy individuals committed to investing their money in the culture wars and reactionary transformation.

The longer I stayed in London, the more I became convinced that you cannot simply map the politics of one country onto another. But there are some distinct similarities. The U.K. Christian right is increasingly drawing on a U.S.-forged playbook. It is also drawing on U.S. money. But the U.K. has its own cadre of super-wealthy individuals committed to investing their money in the culture wars and reactionary transformation.

Take, as an example, the U.K. hedge fund manager Paul Marshall, who is reportedly worth £875 million, according to the London Times. Marshall is determined to use his wealth to combat liberalism, which he believes “has lost its moorings,” in religion as well as politics. He and his wife worship at Holy Trinity Brompton, a large and extremely well-funded church with a strong evangelical and charismatic slant. HTB, as it is known, is home to Alpha, an evangelistic organization with a global reach. In recent years HTB has been more forthcoming on their antipathy to liberal reforms—opposing, for instance, blessings for same-sex couples.

Marshall has invested in a range of religious initiatives, including a scheme to place a Bible in every state school in the U.K. and support for a theological training center that inculcates in its pupils a more conservative form of theology and the culture war positions that accompany it. He has also invested in church-planting initiatives which the writer Andrew Graystone described in Prospect as “a Marshall Plan for the beleaguered Church of England, [that] is widely loathed in other parts of the Church for its flatpack formula of guitar music and easy certainties.”

But Marshall’s efforts go well beyond support for religion in the U.K. His aims are clearly political. He has forged alliances with number of conservative politicians and launched an organization called the Alliance for Responsible Citizenship, which draws in right-wing activists and personalities. He made an initial investment of £10 million into GB News, a conservative media outlet that frequently veers into right-wing culture war territory, and has subsequently invested millions more. He has also invested 18 million pounds in Ralston College, a tiny Savannah, Georgia–based liberal arts school with a robust online platform, whose chancellor is the right-wing culture warrior Jordan Peterson. In 2024, he purchased the conservative-leaning U.K. publication The Spectator for 100 million pounds. In doing so, he will play a pivotal role in shaping conservative politics in the U.K. for years to come.

For now, of course, people like Marshall are swimming against the U.K. tide. Most American-style culture wars remain unpopular in the British Isles. I still find it difficult to imagine a movement to end abortion or same-sex marriage erupting here and taking aim at democratic institutions. Most British people were stunned when the U.S. Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade. One friend, a Tory Brexiteer, asked me in genuine confusion, “Why would anyone want to ban abortion?”

But, when I consider that the U.S. religious right has found willing U.K. partners and is carefully laying the groundwork, I consider the possibility that I’m making too many assumptions. I wander in my memory back to my childhood in 1970s Boston, and it occurs to me that Americans then might have had equal difficulty imagining what has become of our national politics today.

At that time, abortion was thought to be of concern mainly to a subset of Catholics, and it didn’t divide along partisan lines. In 1972 the popular television show Maude, executive-produced by the late Norman Lear, featured two segments in which the lead character faced an unintended pregnancy and chose abortion. Lear later remarked that this storyline generated no controversy when it first aired.

Many conservative Protestants and their institutions, including the Southern Baptist Convention, had welcomed the Supreme Court ruling that for half a century secured the right of American women to reproductive freedom. Even after the religious right succeeded in convincing conservatives that all evil came down to abortion, the issue was initially thought to be a social one, to be resolved by democratic means within the existing institutions.

Few people at the time would have imagined that antiabortion activism would become an indispensable tool for mobilizing large groups of people to join in an assault on democracy itself. The recent developments in the U.K., I realize, are like a window on the American past. This is how things must have looked before the antidemocratic reaction really took hold.

[KEVINAA 129]

Edited March 14 by KEVINAA