Stats Back Blues to Beat Spurs

[CHOULO19 24,332]

On Wednesday at 19:45 UK time, Chelsea will host Tottenham at Stamford Bridge in what is expected to be a thrilling London Derby. If history and stats are anything to go by, then the Blues are firm favourites to emerge victorious from the clash.

Chelsea come into the match comfortably on top of the EPL table and still undefeated in all competitions despite a minor blip in the form of a goalless draw at the Stadium of Light in their last match. And while the draw itself might not be a worry for Jose Mourinho and his men, the performance itself did raise a few red flags among the Chelsea fans, especially that it was the first time that the team has failed to score this season.

In sharp contrast, Tottenham have generally suffered this season sitting in seventh place, 13 points behind the best team in London and the league, having already lost 5 of the opening 13 matches this season; but despite all that they go into the derby in good spirits after an important win and excellent performance against their direct Europa League rivals, Everton.

But last result/performance aside, Spurs fans would struggle to find a positive indicator going into this match. Historically, they have really suffered against Chelsea in recent years, especially at the Bridge where their last win was by a Gary Lineker goal back in 1990! In fact, since that game, Tottenham have only managed to beat Chelsea 5 times in 57 meetings (all 5 coming at Three Points White Heart Lane, obviously).

History aside, statistics also clearly show Chelsea's superiority at the moment in practically all aspects on the field:

As far as team news go, Jose Mourinho has confirmed in his press conference that only Nathan Ake will be out of the match with his long-term hamstring injury, while Diego Costa will be suspended for the match after picking up his fifth yellow this season against Sunderland.

On the other hand, Spurs' Kyle Walker will also miss the match through injury, while a few other players, including Adebayor, Townsend and Capoue. face a late fitness test.

-Chelsea failed to score in the league for the first time this season on Saturday, drawing 0-0 at Sunderland.

-The Blues have conceded the fewest amount of goals at home this season (3).

-Tottenham have the third best away record in the league, winning three and drawing two matches out of their six away games so far.

-In their last five fixtures against Tottenham, Chelsea have scored 16 goals, averaging over three goals a game.

- Chelsea are undefeated this season in all competitions (W15, D5).

- Their last league defeat came on 19 April - a 2-1 home reverse against Sunderland.

- Chelsea have won 28 of their last 34 home league games (D5, L1).

- Jose Mourinho's side have kept 11 clean sheets in their last 14 Premier League home matches.

- Didier Drogba has scored three goals and assisted four more in his last eight league games against Spurs.

- Tottenham have lost just one of their last six Premier League away games (W3, D2).

- They have won three of their last four league games, losing the other.

- Spurs and Chelsea have both won the most points from losing positions in the league this season, both nine.

-Only Yaya Toure (14) and Steven Gerrard (12) have scored more Premier League goals from midfield in 2014 than Christian Eriksen (11).

-Roberto Soldado ended a run of 627 minutes without a league goal against Everton on Sunday.

So, in conclusion, can Spurs record their first ever Premier League victory at Stamford Bridge on Wednesday? Most probably not, according to statistics and historical facts.

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[Hutcho 8,443]

You don't need to stats to back anything up. We are doing very well blip vs Sunderland aside and Spurs are struggling. I'll be surprised if we don't win and shocked if we lose.

[CHOULO19 24,332]

You don't need to stats to back anything up. We are doing very well blip vs Sunderland aside and Spurs are struggling. I'll be surprised if we don't win and shocked if we lose.

Still, it's surprising (and entertaining) to see just how much we've had the upper hand on them this season and the past 25 years. Just 5 losses in the last 57 matches! Do we have a better record against any other team?

[Hutcho 8,443]

Still, it's surprising (and entertaining) to see just how much we've had the upper hand on them this season and the past 25 years. Just 5 losses in the last 57 matches! Do we have a better record against any other team?

Haha, true. No idea mate. I am a fan of stats just you know fuck spurs. Lol.

[Spike 12,049]

@Stats,

[Stats 6,980]

Yes, I do back us to beat Spurs! I will be at the game as well :blue scalf:

[CHOULO19 24,332]

Yes, I do back us to beat Spurs! I will be at the game as well :blue scalf:

That settles it, then!

[drakey 36]

Even Spurs reckon they will lose tonight.

http://www.thfclatest.com/2014/12/02/spurs-view-on-visit-to-chelsea/

I reckon 3-0 myself.

What do you guys reckon on the score?

[Viper22 2,418]

Maybe i'm being overly pessimistic, but with all the results in the last week going against us and everything else in the season going nicely I can see us dropping points here.

Not losing (Spurs aren't good enough for that) but I can see this being a 1-1 draw or something, quite possibly with Spurs being undeserving of the draw (luck? refs? who knows).

[CHOULO19 24,332]

Maybe i'm being overly pessimistic, but with all the results in the last week going against us and everything else in the season going nicely I can see us dropping points here.

Not losing (Spurs aren't good enough for that) but I can see this being a 1-1 draw or something, quite possibly with Spurs being undeserving of the draw (luck? refs? who knows).

If this was at the Lane I'd agree, but I just can't see them pulling it off at the Bridge. Their central midfield is just too weak, imo.

[Viper22 2,418]

If this was at the Lane I'd agree, but I just can't see them pulling it off at the Bridge. Their central midfield is just too weak, imo.

I hope you're right. Really want to be wrong here.

[Muzchap 8,963]

I hope you're right. Really want to be wrong here.

Don't believe the media hype

I said after the CL win we might be flat and I didn't like the weird KO time - look at the Everton game!

This is a bread and butter fixture, the lads have had their wake up call - and know they need to step it up!

All we need is a goal within 15-20 minutes and will be comfortable...